Ocean Lakes Overwhelming Favorites

[GilliamRatings]

I have used statistical methods and the Gilliam Ratings to determine every team's chances of advancing each level through the playoffs.

Ocean Lakes is the biggest favorite in the entire VHSL for winning a state championship.

One team is over a 5 Quadrillion to 1 shot (that's not very good) in 5A.

GILLIAM RATINGS - PLAYOFF CENTRAL

 

[babY_d757]

Haters are gonna make posts about cheating etc lol anyways South County and LB seem to be some pretty good teams heading towards playoffs

 

[VaPrepsRod]

The South always feels really, really good about their teams, but the North always plays them closer than expected and more than wins their fair share.

Just saying.

 

[757FridayNiteZ]

The South always feels really, really good about their teams, but the North always plays them closer than expected and more than wins their fair share.

Just saying.

I agree. The NR teams are battle tested & Ocean Lakes crumbled under the pressure against Colonial Forge 2 years ago.

I think the State tournament would be more interesting if the final 4 teams were reset to the team's power points & played at a neutral sight!

 

[GilliamRatings]

You guys love those pitiful power points way too much!

 

[TBone]

So can we all agree and say that Ocean Lakes is the favorite?

 

[ERFootball#1]

I can't see them losing to anyone in the state.

 

[Washingtonian]

The South always feels really, really good about their teams, but the North always plays them closer than expected and more than wins their fair share.

Just saying.

Exactly.

 

[ERFootball#1]

Yeah right

 

[VaPrepsRod]

Yeah right

*SIGH*

Ok, I'll show my work.

The last 11 games between the old Eastern Region and the old Northern Region...

2014 - Ocean Lakes 30, Centreville 24 (ot)
2013 - Centreville 35, Oscar Smith 6
2012 - Did not play
2011 - Oscar Smith 47, Centreville 21
2010 - Did not play
2009 - Did not play
2008 - Oscar Smith 10, Oakton 7
2007 - Westfield 24, Oscar Smith 21
2006 - Did not play
2005 - Oakton 28, Landstown 7
2004 - Landstown 47, Robinson 20
2003 - Westfield 35, Landstown 14
2002 - Oakton 17, Western Branch 14
2001 - Robinson 27, Deep Creek 12
2000 - Centreville 28, Deep Creek 26

7 wins for the North
4 wins for the East

Your turn.

Prove me wrong.

 

[TBone]

Man I remember that 2000 state championship. Deep Creek was crushing EVERYTHING that year we all just knew they'd get that state title. It was a muggy Saturday and I was a senior at Norcom working at a Food Lion full of Creek kids and we had the radio tuned into the game. CVille was giving Creek the business, and we were shocked! Creek came back but CVILLE stopped that 2-point conversion. Heartbreaking, but good game nonetheless, according to folks we knew who went and of course reports up here.

 

[GilliamRatings]

Most years that I've done the ratings the Eastern Region representative and Northern Region representative had pretty comparable ratings. The computer has always love the Concorde District. Not so much this year. Ocean Lakes really has a huge lead over everyone else (at least 17 points). This gap usually closes some as we progress through the playoffs, but they'll be big favorites until they lose or win the title, I'd say. Of course, I've seen giant favorites lose it before. Wouldn't be the first time.

 

[oldtimer448]

*SIGH*

Ok, I'll show my work.

The last 11 games between the old Eastern Region and the old Northern Region...

2014 - Ocean Lakes 30, Centreville 24 (ot)
2013 - Centreville 35, Oscar Smith 6
2012 - Did not play
2011 - Oscar Smith 47, Centreville 21
2010 - Did not play
2009 - Did not play
2008 - Oscar Smith 10, Oakton 7
2007 - Westfield 24, Oscar Smith 21
2006 - Did not play
2005 - Oakton 28, Landstown 7
2004 - Landstown 47, Robinson 20
2003 - Westfield 35, Landstown 14
2002 - Oakton 17, Western Branch 14
2001 - Robinson 27, Deep Creek 12
2000 - Centreville 28, Deep Creek 26

7 wins for the North
4 wins for the East

Your turn.

Prove me wrong.

didn't westfield play woodbridge in 2007 in the final?

 

[VaPrepsRod]

didn't westfield play woodbridge in 2007 in the final?

Yes, but the argument was not about finals. It was just about the North versus Tidewater so I looked at finals and semifinal matchups

 

[oldtimer448]

Gotcha. Thanks.

 

[CHECKMATE]

Haters are gonna make posts about cheating etc lol anyways South County and LB seem to be some pretty good teams heading towards playoffs

Well, when your coach is suspended for illegal activities, just saying