Oscar Smith & Westfield - schedule comparison

[BlueFan]

Oscar Smith (13-1)

NR DeMatha (?-?) L 42-7 (Catholic school opponent)
#70 Nansemond River (6-5) W 48-0
#90 Lakeland (7-5) W 17-0
#163 Deep Creek (3-8) W 41-14
#198 Hickory (1-8) W 36-0
#75 Indian River (7-5) W 21-7
#67 Western Branch (6-5) W 35-17
#170 Great Bridge (2-8) W 56-7
#123 Kings Fork (4-7) W 55-7
#38 Grassfield (9-3) W 26-21 (strongest regular season opponent)

Playoffs
#67 Western Branch (6-5) W 21-14
#25 Bayside (9-3) W 43-21
#12 Woodside (10-2) W 13-0 (strongest playoff opponent to date)
#24 Colonial Forge (10-2) W 27-20
#3 Westfield (10-2) ????


Westfield (12-2)

#101 Washington-Lee (5-6) W 45-0
#15 South County (8-4) W 17-13
#48 T.C. Williams (5-6) W 21-14
#7 Stone Bridge (10-2) L 16-34 (strongest regular season opponent)
#64 Oakton (4-7) W 41-3
#61 Briar Woods (4-7) L 34-35
#65 Robinson (4-7) W 29-28
#19 Centreville (9-3) W 35-0
#190 Herndon (1-9) W 48-7
#98 Chantilly (4-6) W 49-21

Playoffs
#68 W.T. Woodson (5-6) W 45-7
#15 South County (8-4) W 20-3
#6 James Madison (11-1) W 31-13 (strongest playoff opponent to date)
#13 South Lakes (11-1) W 42-12
#2 Oscar Smith (11-1) ????


Note: Ranking by VHSL (source: VHSL Reference) - not updated after Week 13.

 

[aub3]

For the Smith side, Grassfield was a regular season opponent (strongest regular season opponent) and also Woodside (10-3) was a play off opponent score was W 13-0. Just FYI but good stats.

 

[BlueFan]

For the Smith side, Grassfield was a regular season opponent (strongest regular season opponent) and also Woodside (10-3) was a play off opponent score was W 13-0. Just FYI but good stats.

Thanks for the info; I have updated the post.

 

[BlueFan]

VHSL Reference recently updated the ratings. Here are the Top 25 teams:

# Team Rating W-L
1 Oscar Smith 102.6 13-1
2 Stone Bridge 102.0 12-2
3 Westfield 101.9 12-2
4 Lake Braddock 100.1 11-2
5 Highland Springs 98.7 13-1
6 Dinwiddie 97.9 14-0
7 Massaponax 94.8 12-2
8 Manchester 94.2 11-2
9 South Lakes 93.7 12-2
10 James Madison 93.6 11-2
11 L.C. Bird 93.5 11-2
12 Hampton 91.9 11-2
13 Woodside 91.8 10-3
14 West Potomac 89.9 9-3
15 Centreville 89.9 9-3
16 Salem 89.3 12-1
17 Hermitage 89.1 10-2
18 South County 88.8 8-4
19 Potomac Falls 88.5 10-3
20 Frank Cox 88.5 9-2
21 Woodgrove 87.2 11-1
22 Brooke Point 87.2 11-2
23 Bayside 86.5 9-3
24 Broad Run 86.0 9-3
25 Eastern View 86.0 12-1

Oscar Smith has played no Top 25 teams in the regular season and two in the playoffs:
#13 Woodside (playoff)
#23 Bayside (playoff)

(Grassfield is ranked #30, and Colonial Forge was dropped to #26)


Westfield has played three Top 25 teams in the regular season and three in the playoffs:
#2 Stone Bridge (regular season)
#9 South Lakes (playoff)
#10 James Madison (playoff)
#15 Centreville (regular season)
#18 South County (regular season & playoff)


Source: VHSL Reference

 

[aub3]

Based off that Westfield should win by 4 TD's on Saturday with no problem at all. Many people are expecting a blowout.

 

[1amishfootballfan]

Oscar Smith: 4 playoff games: outscored their opponents 104-55 (average of 26.0 - 13.8).

Westfield: 4 playoff games: outscored their opponents 138-35 (average of 34.5 – 8.8).

It would appear that Westfield has had better performances against higher rated opponents. Nonetheless, I would be very surprised if this was not a tight game to the very finish. I would not anticipate a "blowout."

 

[aub3]

True so what's your prediction????? lol

 

[1amishfootballfan]

Turnovers are always the wildcard and last year both teams had plenty. If the turnover ratio is nearly even I think special teams will make the difference and Delaney will be a key factor: Westfield 27 - Oscar Smith 21.

 

[757FridayNiteZ]

Same points could have been made last year except that few expect Smith to make it to the finals anyway. That upset win against Ocean Lakes showed just how tenacious they were. I think most expected a blowout last year. And the whole SouthEastern conference was under rated. Deep Creek nearly beat Lake Taylor in the first round, Lakeland, and Grassfield both made a deeper run in the playoffs.

Saturday Will likely be very much like last year's game. Come watch & expect a thriller again!