I have used my simulation program to play out the 6A playoffs

[GilliamRatings]

This simulation is designed to be used with any ratings system that predicts margin of victory, so I am using it with CalPreps ratings. It is not scientific, except in the fact that it produces upsets at the same rate as real life games. Therefore, these are not predictions, just one simulation done for fun. It proves nothing. In this one Riverbend pulls off three consecutive upsets and advances to the state finals.

Lake Braddock 38, Hayfield 14
South Lakes 16, Centreville 7
West Potomac 19, James Madison 13
Westfield 33, South County 7
Riverbend 15, Manchester 10
Thomas Dale 19, Colonial Forge 10
Oscar Smith 42, Bayside 8
Woodside 7, Grassfield 0

Lake Braddock 26, South Lakes 13
West Potomac 28, Westfield 14
Riverbend 20, Thomas Dale 17
Oscar Smith 12, Woodside 10

Lake Braddock 21, West Potomac 14
Riverbend 35, Oscar Smith 29

Lake Braddock 25, Riverbend 8

 

[BleedingNavy]

Wow Gilliam your simulation is usually spot on at this time of the year. 4-4 is not like you. Must have been a virus?

 

[GilliamRatings]

These were NOT predictions. This was a simulation that picked upsets.

 

[BleedingNavy]

Oh ok. I just remember you did very well last year in the richmond pickem contest using your system. Thought I would kid you a bit. Guess the joke is on me. Lol....

 

[GilliamRatings]

I didn't do my ratings this year, so let's just pretend I would have picked every game correctly.

 

[BleedingNavy]

Sounds good to me. I always found your stuff interesting. Dont understand it, but a 80% success rate is very good.