Lots of Shuffling in Richmond Region Bracket

[CRF4Dan]

Don't look now but everything shifted... The ratings are out on the VHSL site and this is your bracket today...

#8 Meadowbrook at #1 Highland Springs
#7 Matoaca at #2 LC Bird
#6 Lee-Davis at #3 Hermitage
#5 Henrico at #4 Douglas Freeman

Freeman and Henrico move up, Lee-Davis down but the biggest move here is the swap of Highland Springs and Bird.

 

[DinwiddieProud]

That has got to be the most awesome playoff bracket in the state. It's is everything everybody said it would be all season.

If Matoaca can get their act together and play an entire game like they did against us in the second half, they will give most of these teams a run for the money.

I know I would love to see Hermitage and Highland Springs, (round two), and Bird and either of these teams, but wow, are there some wars on the horizon, or what?

 

[CRF4Dan]

That has got to be the most awesome playoff bracket in the state. It's is everything everybody said it would be all season.

If Matoaca can get their act together and play an entire game like they did against us in the second half, they will give most of these teams a run for the money.

I know I would love to see Hermitage and Highland Springs, (round two), and Bird and either of these teams, but wow, are there some wars on the horizon, or what?

I don't think you can go wrong attending any of these matchups to be honest. It would make my job harder deciding which game to attend that is for certain.

 

[springer76]

Wow! It is going to be one hell of a playoff!!! A lot of people I've talked to don't seem to understand the importance of "strength of schedule" when it comes to tournament time.
This shake up shows it!

 

[GilliamRatings]

It's going to be super close. Thomas Dale's collapse has hurt Bird.

Here's how it looks. If Bird, Hermitage and Highland Springs all win and pick up maximum rider points, HERMITAGE will take the 1 seed, Bird 2 and Highland Springs 3. However, a Manchester loss would send Hermitage back to a 3 way tie leaving Bird and Hermitage to battle it out on something like average VHSL rating of opponents (I don't know who that would break for). If Dale loses then Bird falls back to 3 seed either way. Freeman is a lock for the 4 seed no matter what, but if they beat Hermitage, then Bird 1, Springs 2, Hermy 3, DF 4 (assuming Bird and HS win). Henrico and Lee-Davis should hold serve which means Henrico 5 Le-Davis 6. Matoaca is 7 and Meadowbrook 8 unless Meadowbrook beats Dinwiddie AND Matoaca loses to Dale, then Meadowbrook gets 7 and Matoaca 8

So, we'll see. Manchester, Matoaca and Hermitage games are the big wild cards in here.

 

[GilliamRatings]

Scary Meadowbrook is getting a rematch with somebody.

 

[VaPrepsRod]

And all of that is just one-half of an exciting bracket that might pale in comparison to the excitement that will be generated in the 5A North tournament.

 

[GilliamRatings]

The only difference in 5A North is the first round games don't seem to be quite as good.

 

[GilliamRatings]

It is worth noting that Varina and J.R. Tucker would have playoff spots if 5A South just did a straight bracket.

 

[headevil2]

It's going to be super close. Thomas Dale's collapse has hurt Bird.

Here's how it looks. If Bird, Hermitage and Highland Springs all win and pick up maximum rider points, HERMITAGE will take the 1 seed, Bird 2 and Highland Springs 3. However, a Manchester loss would send Hermitage back to a 3 way tie leaving Bird and Hermitage to battle it out on something like average VHSL rating of opponents (I don't know who that would break for). If Dale loses then Bird falls back to 3 seed either way. Freeman is a lock for the 4 seed no matter what, but if they beat Hermitage, then Bird 1, Springs 2, Hermy 3, DF 4 (assuming Bird and HS win). Henrico and Lee-Davis should hold serve which means Henrico 5 Le-Davis 6. Matoaca is 7 and Meadowbrook 8 unless Meadowbrook beats Dinwiddie AND Matoaca loses to Dale, then Meadowbrook gets 7 and Matoaca 8

So, we'll see. Manchester, Matoaca and Hermitage games are the big wild cards in here.

The way I have the points, if Henrico beats Hanover and DSF loses then I calculate Henrico having 301 and DSF 297, may have punched in wrong numbers, you are the expert. But there non conference Midlo and JR will not win, and Henrico non conference Deep Run and Tucker should win, Atlee was the other non conference for DSF and that is a wash.

 

[GilliamRatings]

I'm no expert at the power points. This morning was the first time I even looked at the stuff. I didn't really look all that hard at freeman and henrico.

 

[BirdFan15]

Scary Meadowbrook is getting a rematch with somebody.

Really didn't want to see Meadowbrook in the first round. They have the talent to beat the top 3

 

[blue67ccm]

If Henrico beats Hanover, they improve to 294 points.
If Freeman loses, they improve to 289 points.

Henrico gets 2 points each for wins by Tucker, Godwin, and Deep Run. They're guaranteed 2 points each from The Tomato Bowl and Atlee/Armstrong, and one point from the HS/Varina winner. So, if Tucker, Godwin and Deep Run all lose, their worst total is 299.

Freeman gets 2 guaranteed points from Tucker/Glen Allen, TJ/Deep Run, and John Marshall/Godwin. That's 295 points. An Atlee win ups them to 297, but then they need either Midlothian to beat Clover Hill or James River to stun LC Bird for the additional two points needed to reach 299.

Since Henrico's maximum possible point total is 305 and Freeman's minimum is 295, Freeman can fall to the #5 seed and hit the road next Friday.