Using Cal Preps ratings and the info at their site I calculated the probabilities each team would win a state title. I also have this as odds. They don't have their official predictions up, but the point spread predicted by their ratings is simple to calculate and I put those at the bottom. I will do the same thing with VHSL-Reference when their new ratings are published.
No one is an overwhelming favorite in 6A
37.71% Ocean Lakes (3:2)
26.75% Centreville (5:2)
18.17% Oscar Smith (9:2)
17.37% Westfield (5:1)
Ocean Lakes by 5 over Oscar Smith
Centreville by 3 over Westfield
Rank in Nation:
117 Ocean Lakes
174 Centreville
222 Oscar Smith
242 Westfield
Ocean Lakes has not played a final four caliber team yet.
Centreville's only game against a final four caliber team was a loss to Westfield (Nope, Gonzaga is not rated as highly as any of our final four teams).
Oscar Smith's only game against a final four caliber team was a loss to Booker T. Washington of Miami.
Wesfield's only game against a final four caliber team was a win over Centreville.
No one is an overwhelming favorite in 6A
37.71% Ocean Lakes (3:2)
26.75% Centreville (5:2)
18.17% Oscar Smith (9:2)
17.37% Westfield (5:1)
Ocean Lakes by 5 over Oscar Smith
Centreville by 3 over Westfield
Rank in Nation:
117 Ocean Lakes
174 Centreville
222 Oscar Smith
242 Westfield
Ocean Lakes has not played a final four caliber team yet.
Centreville's only game against a final four caliber team was a loss to Westfield (Nope, Gonzaga is not rated as highly as any of our final four teams).
Oscar Smith's only game against a final four caliber team was a loss to Booker T. Washington of Miami.
Wesfield's only game against a final four caliber team was a win over Centreville.
