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4D is quite interesting. I'm going off good faith of previous posters that it's still Glass #1 with win over LCA, Salem #1 with Glass loss and win over PH, Louisa #1 with Glass and Salem loss and win over Goochland. Orange, Amherst, and WA seem to have #4-6 sewn up but that logjam at #7-9 is intense. JF and Halifax have two 0-9 teams to play but Pulaski has a very difficult Christiansburg team but they have much more to gain from a win. Just at a guess I think Halifax will need Pulaski to lose to be safe.
On a side note, GW came incredibly close to making the POs, I believe. If they'd have won their last two I think they'd have squeaked in at the 7th spot and likely ended any controversy between Halifax and PC as neither would make it.
Also, FWIW with the PC/Cburg game, if #4 is out of the game for Cburg, I believe PC will have an excellent chance at winning that game. Cburg was en route to demolishing Cave Spring last week and had it 21-0 early in the second quarter on the heels of two long passes and a long run from #4 before he was leveled on his second TD pass and hobbled off the field never to be seen again. CS managed to win the rest of the game 14-3 and Cburg had very little success offensively without #4. He's been hobbled for weeks, it seems (I saw Cburg/HV earlier this year and he also played and got dinged up and removed), I'm wondering if Cburg might rest him up for the POs as they are very dangerous with him and incredibly mediocre without. Just something to keep in mind.
On a side note, GW came incredibly close to making the POs, I believe. If they'd have won their last two I think they'd have squeaked in at the 7th spot and likely ended any controversy between Halifax and PC as neither would make it.
Also, FWIW with the PC/Cburg game, if #4 is out of the game for Cburg, I believe PC will have an excellent chance at winning that game. Cburg was en route to demolishing Cave Spring last week and had it 21-0 early in the second quarter on the heels of two long passes and a long run from #4 before he was leveled on his second TD pass and hobbled off the field never to be seen again. CS managed to win the rest of the game 14-3 and Cburg had very little success offensively without #4. He's been hobbled for weeks, it seems (I saw Cburg/HV earlier this year and he also played and got dinged up and removed), I'm wondering if Cburg might rest him up for the POs as they are very dangerous with him and incredibly mediocre without. Just something to keep in mind.
I have max points for Glass at 31.2 with win 28 if they lose to LCA
I have Louisa max points at 29.6 but I predict 29.2 with wins this week
I have Salem Max points at 30 with win this week
Glass 31.2
Salem 30
Louisa 29.6
My prediction
Salem 30 (most likely finish unless they lose to PH)
Louisa 29.2 (Courtland will lose to King George and Massaponax will lose colonial forge)
Glass 29.2 (LCA will probably win)
I have Louisa max points at 29.6 but I predict 29.2 with wins this week
I have Salem Max points at 30 with win this week
Glass 31.2
Salem 30
Louisa 29.6
My prediction
Salem 30 (most likely finish unless they lose to PH)
Louisa 29.2 (Courtland will lose to King George and Massaponax will lose colonial forge)
Glass 29.2 (LCA will probably win)
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Yep. I personally think it's time for D to travel to C. They had had to come to Salem last 3 yrs
I don't think your Glass losing scenario has the right points associated with it. If I did this right Glass has a 29.222 right now /9= 263 pts. If they lose to LCA they'll get 10 pts for the loss to a C3 school (8+2 for playing down), 10 pts for LCA's wins, and probably 9 pts for other opponent's wins this week. (10+10+9=29) So 263+29=292/10=29.2
I could have missed something somewhere. I was rushing to do it. I will run numbers again later
IF my numbers are correct then we could have a tie for the 2 spot between Glass and Louisa. (Assumes ECG loses to LCA & opponents games go the way I figured) Needless to say, my Nostradamus & math skills leave a lot to be desired.
It looks like Amherst will be #5 and travel to Orange. I don’t think they can out point then even if a miracle happen and they beat Heritage
I think you are probably right Wik. I can see Amherst winning in the 1st round, whether at home or on the road.
Yep, don't believe 4-6 will change. Amherst @Orange and WA heads to Salem/Louisa/Glass. I'm pretty sure JF is secure at 7 as well but haven't actually crunched the numbers, just eyeballed it. It's really just the positions of the top three and then whether Pulaski can upset Cburg or not to edge out Halifax.
From the VHSL tie breaking procedures it might be decided by:
(d) A team that played an opponent with an effective nine (9) game schedule (non-recognized opponent, i.e., home school or out-of-state non-public school, or inability to schedule/play a 10th game) shall be seeded ahead of a school whose opponents play 10 game schedules.
This would apply to EC Glass since they played GW Danville, and they only played 9 games.
This is all cart before the horse though, we'll just have to see what happens.
With a win by Pulaski County over Christiansburg and a loss by Western Albemarle to Orange County, couldn't the Cougar possibly jump from #9 to #6 or even #5?
Virginia high school football playoff projections for fall 2022
We’ve reached the end of the regular season of football and now it’s time for the playoffs.
