If top 3 teams win out ?
John Champe currently 250 points with 56 on current wins of 2 remaining teams equals 306 divided by 10 is 30.6
Jefferson Forest currently has 240 points with 66 on remaining teams equals 306 divided by 10 equals 30.6
Salem currently has 210 points with 64 points on remaining teams equals 274 divided by 9 equals 30.44
One of Jefferson Forest remainng teams , Brookville has already played 9 games though , so that will reduce their rider points by 2 . Due to that Salem and Jefferson Forest are basically tied ! Remember the assumption that all teams win out . So, the number one seed will come down to rider points . I am more informed with Salem and Jefferson forest schedule and teams so that plays into upcoming analysis . Besides district play , the two teams that JF played that are different than Salem are Magna Vista and William Fleming . Magna Vista has Tunstall and GW Danville . That is 2 to 4 rider points with the GW game being the big one . WF has Allegheny and Northside . That is probably 2 points as I do not think Fleming will beat Northside . That is 4 to 6 points for JF .
Salem played William Byrd and Northside . Byrd has Botetourt and Rockbridge . That is 2 to 4 points but Botetourt is good ! Northside has Fleming and that is all . That is probably 2 points for Salem . That is 4 to 6 points for Salem .
Big final games are Byrd vs Botetourt . Byrd win would be big for Salem and is plausible but I am betting on Botetourt but will be close probably !
Another one is Magna Vista vs GW Danville ! If Magna Vista wins , it will be huge for JF ! Another 2 points !
Another big one will be Staunton River vs Botetourt . A Staunton River win will be huge for JF . My guess is Botetourt as they are very physical team .
The district games will be washes for the most part so these will come down to rider points . Jefferson Forest and Salem will be very tight for points . One game could tilt the numbers , especially the three I mentioned . What if they end up tied . Salem 9 games vs 10 games . JF is probably a slight , very slight favorite in my calculations , and that being said , I am ignorant about John Champe so they could win it ! Based upon what I am thinking John Champe may have more district games and automatic points from wins so I think they are in driver seat but if above games tilt one way , that could make big difference ! Maybe Matt could shed some light !
John Champe currently 250 points with 56 on current wins of 2 remaining teams equals 306 divided by 10 is 30.6
Jefferson Forest currently has 240 points with 66 on remaining teams equals 306 divided by 10 equals 30.6
Salem currently has 210 points with 64 points on remaining teams equals 274 divided by 9 equals 30.44
One of Jefferson Forest remainng teams , Brookville has already played 9 games though , so that will reduce their rider points by 2 . Due to that Salem and Jefferson Forest are basically tied ! Remember the assumption that all teams win out . So, the number one seed will come down to rider points . I am more informed with Salem and Jefferson forest schedule and teams so that plays into upcoming analysis . Besides district play , the two teams that JF played that are different than Salem are Magna Vista and William Fleming . Magna Vista has Tunstall and GW Danville . That is 2 to 4 rider points with the GW game being the big one . WF has Allegheny and Northside . That is probably 2 points as I do not think Fleming will beat Northside . That is 4 to 6 points for JF .
Salem played William Byrd and Northside . Byrd has Botetourt and Rockbridge . That is 2 to 4 points but Botetourt is good ! Northside has Fleming and that is all . That is probably 2 points for Salem . That is 4 to 6 points for Salem .
Big final games are Byrd vs Botetourt . Byrd win would be big for Salem and is plausible but I am betting on Botetourt but will be close probably !
Another one is Magna Vista vs GW Danville ! If Magna Vista wins , it will be huge for JF ! Another 2 points !
Another big one will be Staunton River vs Botetourt . A Staunton River win will be huge for JF . My guess is Botetourt as they are very physical team .
The district games will be washes for the most part so these will come down to rider points . Jefferson Forest and Salem will be very tight for points . One game could tilt the numbers , especially the three I mentioned . What if they end up tied . Salem 9 games vs 10 games . JF is probably a slight , very slight favorite in my calculations , and that being said , I am ignorant about John Champe so they could win it ! Based upon what I am thinking John Champe may have more district games and automatic points from wins so I think they are in driver seat but if above games tilt one way , that could make big difference ! Maybe Matt could shed some light !
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