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Shenandoah District Teams Open Season with "7 Up" Weekend

As in 7 "toss ups" because I cannot honestly look at the schedule for this opening weekend and pick even one game that looks like a slam dunk. So I will be lucky if I can predict three or four correctly. All seven are re-matches from last year's season-openers but with the host teams being reversed. Four of the seven games last year were one-point squeakers so you can understand the difficulty of trying to predict this year's winners. As of the moment, the weather doesn't sound the best, with chances of storms being predicted for Thursday through Saturday, but we will make it through. So let's get started.......

MADISON COUNTY AT STAUNTON: This was listed in the local paper's preview story as being a Thursday night game, so that might be worth verifying if you wish to attend. Could have something to do with the shortage of officials. These two had a close one last year with Madison coming out on top 15-14. However, by the end of the year, the Mounties were awful and Riverheads annihilated them in the Region 2 B playoffs. With home field advantage and the upbeat attitude they seem to have in Staunton these days, I will go with The Storm to win this one by maybe a couple of scores. But if Madison is improved, who knows?

The rest are Friday night games.........

JAMES RIVER AT BUFFALO GAP: This was another of last year's one-point games. If I remember correctly, the Bison seemed to have it in the bag but something kinky happened late in the game to allow the Knights to escape 13-12. All sources indicate that the Gap may struggle again this year, after going 1-10 last season, but let's give them some encouragement and say that they will get their revenge in this one and get some early-season confidence.

STUARTS DRAFT AT KING WILLIAM: Continuing with the one-point games from last year, KW left the Cougar Den with a rather surprising 7-6 win, considering that both would go on to display some serious offensive power. So don't be surprised if this one is completely different and the scoreboard short circuits. I know that KW has a super-fan on here, so he can chime in and fill us in on them, but until he tells us otherwise, I will go with the home team to sweep the series. Not that the Cougars are bad, mind you, but I just see this one as two good teams fighting it out down to the wire.

CENTRAL WOODSTOCK AT RIVERHEADS: Anybody who attended this one last year probably still remembers it very well. After a scoreless first half, RHS pushed across a TD in the third to move ahead 7-0. The Gladiators then had a second TD called back on a penalty that would have put them ahead 14-0. That opened the door for a miraculous last-second drive by the Falcons to pull out an 8-7 win. Of course the two met again in the Region 2 B championship and the Big Red rolled easily in that one, on their way to a ninth straight state championship appearance. Both teams lost major firepower to graduation, so the key to this one will be who has "re-loaded" the best. I still have confidence in the depth of the RHS running game, but Central has Barahona (sp.?) back as well as a transfer quarterback from Spotswood, so if they leave Greenville with a win, it will certainly not be an upset. Officially I say the Big Red by a touchdown but the packed house should see a good one.

FORT DEFIANCE AT TURNER ASHBY: Although it was not one of last year's one-point games, this may very well be the marquee game of this opening weekend. TA looked awesome in their scrimmage win over Riverheads, whereas some sources are predicting that the Indians will not only challenge Riverheads this year for the Shenandoah title, but may actually win it. We will actually find out how those two stack up in two short weeks, so put Friday the 13th on your calendar for that big one. But back to the subject at hand, these two teams share the Augusta/Rockingham border and likely know one another quite well. As great as TA looked in that scrimmage, I have to go with them to win this one, but the Indians certainly have a chance to make a big bold statement here on opening weekend.

ALLEGHANY AT WAYNESBORO: Not sure what the now-consolidated Alleghany team calls itself (Cougars? Mounties? Colts?) but whoever they are, this trip over to Waynesboro looks like a win for the visitors but the Little Giants have a new coach and perhaps a new attitude to go with it, so don't be shocked if they surprise a team or two this year. Speed has been their trademark the past few seasons, so if they can rein that speed in a little bit and cut down on the turnovers, they could make some noise in the Shenandoah. Speaking of which, I have heard from numerous sources that Alleghany, along with Rockbridge County, will be joining the Shenandoah next year, so games with those two will become a regular thing if that is indeed accurate information.

WILSON AT CHARLOTTESVILLE: Last year at The Hive, the Hornets absolutely destroyed the Black Knights in a 55-8 turnover-filled rout. That seemed surprising at the time because over here in the Valley, C'ville is considered the "big city," so how could such a thing happen? More importantly what will happen this year? I will go with Wilson to win again just based on that score but here in this first weekend, who can say?

So there you have it....seven pretty unpredictable opening weekend games with at least one guaranteed shocker to be found somewhere along the line. To summarize, I will go with the home team to win the first five listed and the visitors to win the final two. And I will go out on a limb and say we will NOT have four one-point wins this time!
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Riverheads Rushes Past Rams in Second Scrimmage

Riverheads will be fine. They can continue to win at a high rate as long as athletes continue to show up and buy in. Thats what stopped happening at Giles. Nobody just magically figured out the single wing. In fact, like riverheads, the scheme is simple. You just out block and out execute your opponent. A thing of beauty honestly. Like Fairlawn said, as run heavy program, you often struggle to prepare for high powered passing attacks. Every year that Giles was able to do that, they competed for a state title or atleast made a deep run in the playoffs.

2024 NOVA Pick'em Week 1

Welcome to this year's Pick'em for those who wish to participate. The season is now here and most teams start playing next week. Here in NOVA all but a handful of the games are being played on Thursday so please submit your picks by 7:00 pm on Thursday.

As usual for this early in the season there is little data upon which I can base my spread calculations. Add in that the several sites I refer to as back up are also going mostly on a team's performance for past seasons and that means I usually end up a bit off for the first few weeks.

Lake Braddock (-28) @ Colgan
Gainesville (-12) @ Potomac
Herndon (-35) @ Justice
Mount Vernon @ West Potomac (-14)
Yorktown (-24) @ WT Woodson
South County (-24) @ Robinson
Centreville (-17) @ Alexandria City
Falls Church @ Chantilly (-38)
Stone Bridge @ Madison (-6)
Patriot (-6) @ Westfield
Thanks for taking your time to continue this tradition of fun competition, falcettik! I just hope I don't embarrass myself like last year, haha...
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Post Scrimmages Here

Was it a break or fracture? 3-4 weeks or sooner for a broken bone seems questionable/unrealistic. That seems more of the timetable for a fracture, regardless speed recovery to the young man
I’m guessing it was not a break. I’m still hearing 3-4 weeks. Bundy & Holmes didn’t play in the last scrimmage vs. 2A Southampton & 3A Armstrong out of Richmond. Southampton was a 2nd round playoff team last year and Armstrong fell in the Regional Champinship. I was told vs. Essex 1st string, Southampton scored once on a blown assignment and Armstrong (with 14 returning starters) didn’t score at all on Essex 1st team D. I also was told a couple 1st year varsity guys did real good filling in for Bundy & Holmes.

Region B

I would expect a low scoring game between IR and Varina with Varina winning something like 17-10. IR will have athletes but I don't think they will have much success on offense unless they have improved a lot.

I won't be at HSHS vs Manchester but I think HSHS wins big in that one.
I agree with both. If Varina puts up 17 on IR then watch out! That would be a big improvement,
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