Class 2 Computer Picks Both Calpreps & Massey

[Fairlawncat]

A.
Poquoson vs King William
Calpreps 28-12 Poquoson 86% win chance
Massey 36-12 Poquoson 94% win chance
Combined pick. 90% win chance Poquoson
Final Combined score. Poquoson 32-12

B.
BC vs Strasburg
Calpreps 21-12 Strasburg 73% win chance
Massey 28-14 Strasburg 86% win chance
Combined pick. 79.5% win chance S.Burg
Final Combined score. Strasburg 24.5-13

C.
Glenvar vs Gretna
Calpreps 31-14 Glenvar 87% win chance
Massey 41-14 Glenvar 92% win chance
Combined pick. 89.5% win chance Glenvar
Final Combined score. Glenvar 36-14

D.
Graham vs Union
Calpreps 22-13 Graham 73% win chance
Massey 27-14 Graham 78% win chance
Combined pick. 75.5% win chance Graham
Final Combined score. Graham 24.5-13.5

 

[RedPrideNation_RollPride]

I would argue the KW/Poquoson numbers but those models are right more often than not so we will see.

 

[Fairlawncat]

I would argue the KW/Poquoson numbers but those models are right more often than not so we will see.

Agree, all of them look about right to me except KW and Poquoson. I also think Strasburg and BC will be close. Strasburg is solid and heavy run, but have mixed in some passing a couple times this year. I think Strasburg is going to have problems running the ball on BC.

If Strasburg wins, my guess is they hit 1 or 2 passes for over 25 yds in this game and don't give up long-explosive plays. Make BC drive the field and force them to have long drives where discipline is required and onenholding call or motion penalty stops the drive. But, just don't give up big plays.

For BC to win, they will have to get points from long/explosive big plays. I don't think they drive on Strasburg and same for Strasburg, I really think Strasburg will need to put it in the air 6 to 8 times. BCs defense is atrociously fast and they fly to the ball against the run. We've talked about BCs schedule, but on the flip side, I don't think Strasburg has faced a better run defense up until this point in BC.