Both are well coached teams so this one could be a really good game. Now to the breakdown.
I keep hearing about this schedule that Poquoson plays but with the exception of Lafayette and Smithfield, those other class 4 and 5 teams are not very good. The overall combined record of opponents so far is 68-79 (with those two teams accounting for 21 of those wins and only 4 of the losses). I realize just how tough this Islander team is so I am not trying to say they arent very very good, but I will not pretend that 0-10 Jamestown or any of the three 3-7 teams (Lake Taylor, Grafton or York) would present but so much of a problem for the upper tier of 2A teams. Staying close to Lafayette is by far the most impressive game to me personally. Decent wins against Lunenburg and Bruton but did anyone expect a different outcome? I am excited to see this years Poquoson team since last year losing the QB early hurt them in the state semis. That said I do not see them as a prohibitive favorite on resume alone. They have a very good team this year and a home field advantage which will likely play well for them this week.
This Strasburg team didn't play as many teams that are full classifications above them but did play some decent 2A competition. Their best wins would probably be against Buckingham, Skyline, maybe Riverheads. The Rams competition have a better overall record at 83-66. Now in fairness there were a few less than stellar teams in this group as well with 2-8 Page and Luray along with 4-6 Rock Ridge and 4-7 Moorefield dragging the W/L numbers down. I really like the way Strasburg plays defense and they will need to be on their game to corral this Poquoson team. My only fear with this group is with line play if they are not having success early. They have established dominance early in each playoff game so far and will need to in this game to take the home fans out of the game and settle into their gameplan.
All that leads me to say this, Poquoson is the favorite and should be. I do think it's a close game unless there is a lot of laundry on the field. It would be highly uncharacteristic for either team but does happen in playoffs games. I will take Strasburg to shock to world and pull off a close win 23-20.
Good luck to both teams and safe travels to those attending