Region A possiblities

[Jdavis54]

I think I have this right don't quote it.

Franklin wins 226 to 232
Franklin loss 216 to 222

Rappahannock wins 229 to 231
Rappahannock loss 212 to 214

Northumberland 216 to 224

West Point 193 to 199

Essex wins 211 to 215
Essex loss 192 to 196

Colonial Beach wins 193 to 194
Colonial Beach loss 178 to 179

Northampton wins 202 to 206
Northampton loss 186 to 190

W&L wins 147 to 148
W&L loss 131 to 132

I believe the only one locked into a seed is w&l at 8.

 

[NNDanalyst]

Rapps potential max points is 231...If W&L wins they would get 4 rider pts b/c they beat them 2x. So that would be 28 for beating Essex, 2 for the NHS win, and 2 for the winner of Mathews vs Middlesex which would put them at 231. They also can be no lower than 229 with a win. 28 for a win vs Essex, 2 if CB beats W&L, 2 from the NHS Win and 2 from the winner of Mathews vs Middlesex.
The game to watch is the Cumberland vs Patrick Henry. That will be the determining factor if Franklin and Rapp both win unless W&L pulls the upset vs CB.

 

[Jdavis54]

Thanks for that.

 

[Jdavis54]

Rappahannock at Essex controls about 99 percent of region A seeding. Another game is the tj game which will have some implications for essex, win or lose.

 

[HighestPoint]

Rappahannock at Essex controls about 99 percent of region A seeding. Another game is the tj game which will have some implications for essex, win or lose.

I think your right. Looks like every seed 1-6 or 7 hinges on this game.

 

[NNDanalyst]

If Im not mistaken but I think NHS is locked in to play CB no matter what happens.
if Rapp wins they will be 1 and essex falls to 7. Which means NHS will be 3 and CB 6
if Rapp loses CB Falls to 7 and NHS goes to 2.

 

[NNDanalyst]

actually if TJ loses CB v NHS is a lock