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4-D playoff match-ups now looking set...ish

Just an outsiders take:

With all the hype Region B gets this Region (D) might be the most intriguing overall.

GW played a tough OOD schedule, showed grit against MV, and have won 9 straight. I like their growth, but still have concerns about the Eagles ability to stop physical offenses.

Inconsistency is the word of the day to describe this version of Glass. It's hard to beat a team twice, so GW better not sleep on the Hilltoppers. Glass must control the ball and limit the big plays on defense. Normally, I would say this game wreaks of an upset, but Coach Lovelace's crew just haven't proven they can put it all together. Early exit for the Hilltoppers.

For all the concern Spartans fans have expressed you still have a proven commodity whose only losses came at the hands of Fleming and LCA. The Salem offense can score a ton of points, so opponents will have to score 28+ points to beat them.

Handley has the size to match up with the teams in Region D. I have only watched them on video, so I am not an expert. I like their offense if the starting QB is healthy. He can sling it and and his receivers go and get it. Darling is the type of dual threat QB that with the exception of last year's juggernaut, has given Salem's defensive scheme trouble in the past. The Judges can score, but can their defense get enough stops to get by the Spartans.

Sherando is most definitely a region champion contender. Yes, the naysayers will point to a light schedule, but this team impresses me. They are sound on both sides of the ball and have added a wrinkle of finesse to go with their normal physical nature. QB, Micah Carlson can beat you with his arm and legs. I really like the ball fakes he employs to keep the defense at home.

Kobe Mason and Owen Neal are a nice one two punch for James Wood. The defense has given up points and Sherando hit them for 35 earlier in the season. Again, it's tough to beat a team twice, but expecting a freshmen QB to pull the upset in his first playoff game may be asking too much.

Coleman, McClendon, and Marks are very valuable offensive weapons for JF. I really like how Marks moves the pocket and can throw on the run. This team has a very good mix of physicality and finesse. The defense is stout and with the exception of the last two games held their opponents under 21 points a game.

Orange has a plethora of offensive weapons in Wharton, Simms, Loveless, and Norman. Unfortunately, they don't get much time off the field as they all play both ways. The Fighting Hornets can light up the scoreboard, but have struggled defensively against the better teams on their schedule. If Orange can get their high powered offense going they have a chance at an upset. Depth and an overall physical presence for JF should carry the day.

I see no upsets in the first round, but I think some teams may be tested. Again, after reviewing video and knowing a few teams in this region well I think Region D is a bit underrated.

Pick em Playoffs Week 1

C4

Churchland
King George
Huguenot
Loudoun Valley
GW Danville
Salem

C5

Indian River
Salem VB
Warwick
Nansemond River
Louisa Co
LC Bird
Stone Bridge
Massaponox

C3

New Kent
Hopewell
Skyline
Heritage
Turner Ashby
Alleghany
Staunton River
Magna Vista
Lord Botetourt

C6

Manchester
Patriot
N Stafford
Stafford
Lake Braddock
West Potomac
Westfield
Langley

C2

Lunenburg Central
Southampton
Bruton
Central Woodstock
Strasburg
Stuart's Draft
Appomattox Co
Virginia High
Union
Ridgeview

C1

Westmoreland
Northampton
Sussex Central
Buffalo Gap
Narrows
George Wythe W
Craig Co
Grundy
Patrick Henry GS

Pick em Playoffs Week 1

C4

Churchland
king George
Huguenot
Woodgrove
GW Danville
Salem

C5

Indian River
Salem
Warwick
Nansemond River
Louisa Co
LC Bird
Stone Bridge
Independence

C3

Colonial Heights
Hopewell
Skyline
Rustburg
Turner Ashby
Alleghany
William Byrd
Magna Vista
Lord Botetourt

C6

Manchester
Patriot
N Stafford
Stafford
Lake Braddock
South Co
Westfield
Langley

C2

Lunenburg Central
King William
Bruton
Buckingham
Strasburg
Stuart's Draft
Appomattox Co
Virginia High
Union
Ridgeview

C1

Westmoreland
Northampton
Sussex Central
Buffalo Gap
Narrows
George Wythe
Grayson Co
Grundy
Holston

Region D Final Standings.

1. Graham (10-0, 5-0) 26.60
2. Union (7-3, 5-1) 23.40
3. Ridgeview (8-2, 4-2) 23.40
4. Virginia (7-3, 4-1) 21.10
5. Lebanon (7-3, 2-3) 20.80
6. Tazewell (5-5, 3-2) 19.50
7. Gate City (6-4, 3-3) 19.40
8. Lee (5-5, 2-4) 18.60
9. Richlands (2-8, 1-4) 14.50
10. Central (2-8, 1-5) 14.10
11. John Battle (0-10, 0-6) 12.70
12. Marion (0-10, 0-5) 11.90

This is what I ended up with.
Look at the Blue Tornado sliding into 9th. They could very well make the playoffs next year with continued improvement. Glad for those boys getting a couple wins this season!

Region D Final Standings.

1. Graham (10-0, 5-0) 26.60
2. Union (7-3, 5-1) 23.40
3. Ridgeview (8-2, 4-2) 23.40
4. Virginia (7-3, 4-1) 21.10
5. Lebanon (7-3, 2-3) 20.80
6. Tazewell (5-5, 3-2) 19.50
7. Gate City (6-4, 3-3) 19.40
8. Lee (5-5, 2-4) 18.60
9. Richlands (2-8, 1-4) 14.50
10. Central (2-8, 1-5) 14.10
11. John Battle (0-10, 0-6) 12.70
12. Marion (0-10, 0-5) 11.90

This is what I ended up with.
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John Champe

I'm just not blown away. They have quite a few questionably close wins against teams which just do not measure up and when you start looking into how the teams JC played close did against their own schedules it just doesn't build a great picture as a "hey, take us seriously" team. When you compare how Tuscarora played against their common opponents (and there were six), only one of those games, Potomac Falls, did JC outperform Tuscarora. Four of the other five games Tuscarora did noticeably better and in the last there wasn't an enormous difference but one would likely argue Tuscarora did a bit better. You just look at how they did against their schedule, especially the middle of it, and are left wanting. Getting wins is obviously what matters most but when we turn to the playoffs I certainly start to question how teams win. This isn't always the best predictor, sometimes teams get by through the skin of their teeth for an entire season en route to a title but it's typically a reliable help when starting to forecast deep playoff matchups and outcomes.

I remember a similar discussion of them in 2015 when they were 11-0, fresh off taking down a 10-1 GW team a lot of people had talked up as a serious contender, and Salem proceeded to head up there and just manhandle JC. I think the rigors of 4C are often lacking and can create some paper tigers. I'll need to see it to believe it when it comes to JC. Beat Tuscarora (presumably), take 4C, and we'll start talking.

Pick em Playoffs Week 1

Churchland
King George
Huguenot
Loudoun Valley
GW Danville
Salem

C5

Indian River
Salem VB
Warwick
Nansemond River
Louisa Co
LC Bird
Stone Bridge
Independence

C3

Colonial Heights
Hopewell
Brentsville District
Heritage
Turner Ashby
Alleghany
William Byrd
Magna Vista
Lord Botetourt

C6

Manchester
Gainesville
N Stafford
Stafford
Lake Braddock
West Potomac
Westfield
Langley

C2

Lunenburg Central
King William
Bruton
Central Woodstock
Strasburg
Riverheads
Appomattox Co
Virginia High
Union
Ridgeview

C1

Westmoreland
Northampton
Sussex Central
Buffalo Gap
Narrows
George Wythe W
Grayson Co
Honaker
Holston

4-D playoff match-ups now looking set...ish

It’s lame that Handley couldn’t finish the job yesterday. I hope Salem beats them 70-0 this week. The region needed a Salem/GW final. @Chuck Vipperman (GW) can we sign a petition to get Keshawn Waller a RB #. That young freshman is the next big thing out of Danville VA.
His number will get smaller as he continues on...I promise. :)
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Region B Seeds and points

I think each game will be 21+ blow outs. After Friday Mills will make sure to fix those mistakes made on Friday. 16 drops smh I know practice wont be good tomorrow afternoon. It’ll take alot of mistakes next Friday in order for Powhatan to stay in that game. 45-14 Dinwiddie

Huguenot will roll EV it seems like EV has gotten worse instead of better throughout the season an that won’t bode well Friday 49-7 Hueguenot

Hanover will have to be very aggressive and tricky Friday in order to steal this one from the Blue devils. They ran the ball well the first time they met but could not connect on passes and penalties put them behind the sticks a lot. I think Varina will impose there will early 35-7 Blue Devils

King George is flat out too much for Courtland! Only way Courtland can win this is if they slow the game down and get first downs and score each position. 42-12 KG

Region B Seeds and points

The KG receivers are not like last years receivers and the game “would” be at Dinwiddie. The Battlefield as a whole was terrible this year.
Ehhh.. I mean sure. Wiggins and White were very good but I truly don’t see much drop off in Ky’Mani Carpenter and Gunnar Reagar on offense though. You can’t double one of them cause the other will make you pay. Gunnar will play early at the Naval Academy (wouldn’t be shocked if UVA offers him and Charles Johnson soon) and Ky’Mani will be a FBS DB but he’s played incredible at WR. Both kids are 6’1 and game changers in that Air Raid system. Still haven’t mentioned Charles Johnson who they’ll line up at WR and RB. He’s 6’2 going to UConn. Their offense is legit and the Battlefield has been horrible.

After following KG for the past 2 seasons, I believe Wiggins and White are missed more on defense. It was hard throwing in lanes because they always found the ball and made plays. KG misses that the most out of anything.
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Region B Seeds and points

Amen @DinwiddieProud! One game at a time. @BoKnowsSports has Powhatan playing us tough and I agree. The Indians have a formidable QB, receiving corp, and two running backs.

Defensively, I am not sure they match up as well, but they played a very athletic Huguenot tough. I can tell you Coach Mills isn't overlooking Powhatan.

The "Pit" is a huge advantage and with the exception of the 2017 loss to a Mark Fisher led Louisa team, a #1 seeded General team is a tough out.

Pick em Playoffs Week 1

C4

Warhill
King George
Huguenot
Loudoun Valley
GW Danville
Salem

C5

Indian River
Salem VB
Warwick
Nansemond River
Louisa Co
LC Bird
Stone Bridge
Independence

C3

New Kent
Hopewell
Skyline
Rustburg
Turner Ashby
Alleghany
William Byrd
Magna Vista
Lord Botetourt

C6

Manchester
Patriot
N Stafford
Stafford
Lake Braddock
South Co
Westfield
Langley

C2

Lunenburg Central
King William
Bruton
Central Woodstock
Fort Defiance
Stuarts Draft
Appomattox Co
Virginia High
Union
Ridgeview

C1

Westmoreland
Northampton
Surry Co
Buffalo Gap
Narrows
George Wythe W
Grayson Co
Honaker
Holston
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