2024 Class 6 Region C/D Power Points

[Bounty13]

The all-too early, you didn't know you needed, Week 0 Power Points:

Region C
Fairfax (26) 26.00
Hayfield (26) 26.00
Lake Braddock (26) 26.00
Lewis (26) 26.00
South County (26) 26.00
Alexandria City (15) 15.00
Annandale (15) 15.00
C.G. Woodson (15) 15.00
Edison (15) 15.00
Falls Church (15) 15.00
Justice (15) 15.00
Robinson (15) 15.00
West Springfield (15) 15.00
Mount Vernon (0) N/A
West Potomac (0) N/A

Region D
Centreville (26) 26.00
Chantilly (26) 26.00
Herndon (26) 26.00
Langley (26) 26.00
Madison (26) 26.00
Marshall (26) 26.00
McLean (26) 26.00
Washington-Liberty (26) 26.00
Yorktown (26) 26.00
Oakton (15) 15.00
South Lakes (15) 15.00
Wakefield (15) 15.00
Westfield (15) 15.00

 

[Bounty13]

Week 1:

Region C
West Potomac (28) 28.00
Hayfield (26) 26.00
Lake Braddock (44) 22.00
Fairfax (43) 21.50
South County (43) 21.50
Lewis (42) 21.00
Robinson (41) 20.50
Annandale (32) 16.00
C.G. Woodson (32) 16.00
Edison (16) 16.00
Falls Church (32) 16.00
Alexandria City (31) 15.50
Justice (15) 15.00
Mount Vernon (15) 15.00
West Springfield (15) 15.00

Region D
Langley (56) 28.00
McLean (56) 28.00
Madison (54) 27.00
Chantilly (52) 26.00
Marshall (52) 26.00
Washington-Liberty (52) 26.00
Yorktown (52) 26.00
Oakton (44) 22.00
Herndon (42) 21.00
Centreville (41) 20.50
Wakefield (41) 20.50
Westfield (41) 20.50
South Lakes (30) 15.00

 

[Bounty13]

Week 2:

Region C
West Potomac (28) 28.00
Hayfield (52) 26.00
Fairfax (72) 24.00
South County (70) 23.33
Lake Braddock (61) 20.33
Lewis (61) 20.33
Robinson (61) 20.33
Edison (34) 17.00
Annandale (50) 16.67
C.G. Woodson (50) 16.67
Justice (33) 16.50
Falls Church (49) 16.33
Alexandria City (48) 16.00
West Springfield (32) 16.00
Mount Vernon (31) 15.50

Region D
Langley (86) 28.67
Chantilly (82) 27.33
Madison (82) 27.33
Washington-Liberty (80) 26.67
Yorktown (80) 26.67
Marshall (78) 26.00
McLean (73) 24.33
Oakton (73) 24.33
Herndon (71) 23.67
Westfield (70) 23.33
Wakefield (59) 19.67
Centreville (57) 19.00
South Lakes (57) 19.00

 

[Bounty13]

Week 3:

Region C
Hayfield (86) 28.67
Fairfax (102) 25.50
Lake Braddock (92) 23.00
South County (90) 22.50
-
West Potomac (44) 22.00
Lewis (65) 21.67
West Springfield (63) 21.00
Robinson (82) 20.50
=====
Falls Church (76) 19.00
Edison (53) 17.67
Justice (52) 17.33
Annandale (67) 16.75
C.G. Woodson (50) 16.67
Alexandria City (49) 16.33
Mount Vernon (48) 16.00

Region D
Madison (116) 29.00
Langley (114) 28.50
Washington-Liberty (112) 28.00
Chantilly (103) 25.75
-
Herndon (100) 25.00
McLean (99) 24.75
Marshall (98) 24.50
Yorktown (98) 24.50
=====
Westfield (72) 24.00
Oakton (91) 22.75
South Lakes (86) 21.50
Wakefield (77) 19.25
Centreville (74) 18.50

 

[Bounty13]

Week 4:

Region C
Hayfield (118) 29.50
Lake Braddock (126) 25.20
Fairfax (123) 24.60
West Springfield (96) 24.00
-
South County (113) 22.60
Robinson (112) 22.40
West Potomac (63) 21.00
Lewis (81) 20.25
=====
Alexandria City (77) 19.25
Mount Vernon (77) 19.25
Falls Church (96) 19.20
Justice (72) 18.00
Edison (71) 17.75
Annandale (88) 17.60
C.G. Woodson (65) 16.25

Region D
Madison (154) 30.80
Langley (144) 28.80
Washington-Liberty (140) 28.00
Herndon (133) 26.60
-
Marshall (131) 26.20
Westfield (103) 25.75
Chantilly (123) 24.60
Yorktown (119) 23.80
=====
McLean (117) 23.40
Oakton (109) 21.80
Centreville (107) 21.40
South Lakes (107) 21.40
Wakefield (106) 21.20

 

[Bounty13]

Week 5:

Region C
Hayfield (148) 29.60
Lake Braddock (156) 26.00
Fairfax (152) 25.33
West Springfield (115) 23.00
-
South County (136) 22.67
Robinson (113) 22.60
Alexandria City (109) 21.80
Mount Vernon (104) 20.80
=====
West Potomac (82) 20.50
Edison (100) 20.00
Falls Church (118) 19.67
Lewis (98) 19.60
Annandale (91) 18.20
Justice (90) 18.00
C.G. Woodson (86) 17.20

Region D
Madison (190) 31.67
Washington-Liberty (178) 29.67
Marshall (168) 28.00
Westfield (138) 27.60
-
Langley (165) 27.50
Chantilly (155) 25.83
Herndon (153) 25.50
Yorktown (150) 25.00
=====
McLean (121) 24.20
Oakton (111) 22.20
Centreville (128) 21.33
South Lakes (128) 21.33
Wakefield (128) 21.33

 

[SPL311U]

Well... Leave it to VHSL to screw up their own power points calculations. They show James Madison with a phantom loss in Week 2 (and Lake Braddock with a win) hence everything is jacked up...

 

[SV-Viking4]

The lady who was doing it for years, retired. Next year the job falls to each region. Somebody should hire @Bounty13.

 

[Bounty13]

Hah! I guess if they paid me enough anything is possible.

Jury's still out on their tracking of out of state games. It's not clear what schools they are recognizing as eligible or ineligible and if they are picking up on the wins/losses or by omission. As of right now, I have low confidence on the accuracy of any tiebreakers.

 

[Bounty13]

Week 6:

Region C
Hayfield (182) 30.33
Lake Braddock (161) 26.83
Fairfax (181) 25.86
West Springfield (151) 25.17
-
South County (172) 24.57
Mount Vernon (132) 22.00
Robinson (132) 22.00
Alexandria City (129) 21.50
=====
Edison (122) 20.33
West Potomac (100) 20.00
Falls Church (139) 19.86
Annandale (119) 19.83
Lewis (115) 19.17
Justice (108) 18.00
C.G. Woodson (107) 17.83

Region D
Madison (228) 32.57
Washington-Liberty (220) 31.43
Langley (199) 28.43
Marshall (194) 27.71
-
Herndon (189) 27.00
Westfield (162) 27.00
Yorktown (184) 26.29
Chantilly (176) 25.14
=====
Oakton (143) 23.83
McLean (140) 23.33
Centreville (132) 22.00
South Lakes (132) 22.00
Wakefield (151) 21.57

 

[EPJr]

 

[SV-Viking4]

I see a few differences, particuliarly with Lewis. Even VHSL has a different value. I assume it centers around Park View.
In all honesty the Lewis points probably wont matter much, but they could impact tiebreakers. W&L and McLean differences could impact seedings. Thanks to everyone who puts these out.

 

[Bounty13]

I had three differences with VHSL.

1. I have Annandale with one additional point. Bishop Ireton played Our Lady of Mount Carmel on 9/7 and won 27-23. However, this game does not appear on VHSL's master schedule for Bishop Ireton. I will need to contact VHSL to see if this is a recognized opponent and missing for their calculation.

2. I had Lewis with two additional points. I fat fingered an additional win for an opponent on their schedule and have corrected this.

3. I have Wakefield with two additional points, and in the course of researching this, it appears to now be four additional points. VHSL does not have Anacostia, DC on their master schedule but they are listed on the weekly ratings. However, they have them as 0-2 on the weekly ratings when their actual record is 2-4. VHSL is missing these two wins. I will need to contact them for correction.

Regarding the differences in the chart above on W&L and McLean, I don't know. Without seeing the math or where the differences are, I can't say for sure. But my math checks with VHSL on those two teams.

 

[SV-Viking4]

I appreciate all the posts on this site, especially ones that include math. Thanks as always for the effort!