History Says 2019 Class 6 Champion Is...

[CRF4Dan]

As many of you know, I do this about the same time every year... I like trends and stats... This year I did it again... I looked at previous champions, what they did the year before in order to give us an idea of who will win it all...

Keep in mind this all in good fun...

Trends-
7 of the last 9 champions reached no less than the 3rd round a year before winning it all.
7 of the last 9 champions won 9+ games a year before winning it all.
16 of the last 18 champions were in the top 8 in ratings the year before winning it all.

Odds-
26 previous champions reached no less than the 2nd round of the playoffs a year before winning it all.
27 previous champions won 8+ games the year before winning it all.
15 of the last 17 champions finished 8th or higher in the ratings a year before winning it all.

Facts-
11 champions made it no further than the 2nd round the year before winning it all.
13 champions won 10 games the year before they won it all.
4 champions were a top seed a year before winning it all.

So who are the teams that fit this mold?

The trends say it should be Freedom, Massaponax, Ocean Lakes, Oscar Smith, Westfield and WT Woodson.

The odds/probabilities say it should be Colonial Forge, Freedom, Hayfield, Massaponax, Ocean Lakes, Oscar Smith, Westfield and WT Woodson.

The facts say it should be Colonial Forge who wins it all.

Common threads are Colonial Forge, Freedom, Massaponax, Ocean Lakes, Oscar Smith, Westfield and WT Woodson...

9 times there has been a repeat 1st time champion and if that is the case than Colonial Forge, Freedom, Massaponax or WT Woodson should be your 2019 Class 6 State Champion.

 

[757FridayNiteZ]

Interesting, as always. BUT, without even trying to explore those numbers, here's what stands out to me..

1. It appears the South Region will be very exciting again in 2019 with 6B being brutal.

2. I think you listed only 2-3 teams from the Northern Region. IMHO, Madison will very likely be right in the mix again this year.

3. Unrelated but could be a dramatic twist to the playoffs, is how 6A & 6B will turn out. Cross Brackets, will that happen? Either way, regardless, someone HAS to travel a good distance for the South Region Championship game.

 

[CRF4Dan]

Interesting, as always. BUT, without even trying to explore those numbers, here's what stands out to me..

1. It appears the South Region will be very exciting again in 2019 with 6B being brutal.

2. I think you listed only 2-3 teams from the Northern Region. IMHO, Madison will very likely be right in the mix again this year.

3. Unrelated but could be a dramatic twist to the playoffs, is how 6A & 6B will turn out. Cross Brackets, will that happen? Either way, regardless, someone HAS to travel a good distance for the South Region Championship game.

James Madison met some of the figures in this study but not all, that is why they did not ultimately make the cut.