Yes, If Louisa wins their game, they will be third. Right now Chancellor is 5 points ahead of them. The games they play favors Louisa by 8 points (one win spotsy for Chancellor and 5 win Cville for Louisa). The rest of the rider points are a split. The only two games in question are Sherando and Mponx. Even if Sherando loses, and Mponx wins, Chancellor will still be a point behind them.
Louisa has to beat us first