THE RVA SPORTS BREAKDOWN: VHSL Football Region Standings and Analysis

[EPJr]

THE RVA SPORTS BREAKDOWN:​

VHSL Football Region Standings and Analysis For Week 9​

CLASS 3, REGION A:

1) LAFAYETTE (7-0) 25.714
2) I.C. NORCOM (4-3) 22.143
3) HOPEWELL (3-4) 19.286
4) COLONIAL HEIGHTS (2-5) 18.286
5) PETERSBURG (2-5) 18.143
6T) YORK (3-4) 18.0
TABB (3-4) 18.0
8) LAKELAND (2-5) 17.714
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9) NEW KENT (3-4) 17.286
10) HERITAGE (1-7) 17.125
11) LAKE TAYLOR (2-5) 16.571
12) GRAFTON (1-6) 15.857

ANALYSIS: New Kent's win over York was huge in their hopes to climb into the top eight. They could turn the region upside down by handing Region 2A leader Poquoson their first loss this week. Less than three points separate the #3 seed and the #11 position. I.C. Norcom could make the race for the region's top seed a two-team race if they beat 7-0 Granby. Lafayette wins the #1 seed by winning out, and have the inside track should they lose their finale against fellow unbeaten Poquoson on November 8th. Hopewell and Petersburg have good strength of schedules moving forward. Week 9 will help shake this out a little bit. And what has happened to Lake Taylor?

CLASS 3, REGION B:

1) KETTLE RUN (7-0) 29.143
2) THOMAS JEFFERSON (7-0) 28.857
3) ARMSTRONG (7-0) 24.571
4) BRENTSVILLE DISTRICT (4-3) 20.571
5) SKYLINE (4-3) 19.571
6) JAMES MONROE (2-5) 17.429
7) CULPEPER (2-5) 16.857
8) MERIDIAN (2-5) 15.857
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9) WARREN CO. (1-6) 15.714
10) FAUQUIER (1-6) 14.429
11) GOOCHLAND (1-6) 14.0

ANALYSIS: Here, it is all about strength of schedule. So, nothing is set in stone. Kettle Run's final three opponents have a combined six wins. Thomas Jefferson's have ten, while Armstrong's have nine. Armstrong must beat TJ head to head on Friday November 1st for any chance at a top two seed. Kettle Run will get no bonus points for playing up. Armstrong will get two, Thomas Jefferson four. If both the Vikings and Kettle Run win out, TJ has a slight advantage for the top seed. It, again, could come down to Week 11 results regarding both teams' opponents. Goochland isn't out yet, as an upset win over Orange Friday could catapult them near that #8 seed.

OTHER CLASS 3 REGIONS:

REGION 3C: 1) Liberty Christian 28.333; 2) Turner Ashby 27.143; 3) Alleghany 26.571; 4) Heritage-Lynchburg 26.286
REGION 3D: 1) Lord Botetourt 23.714; 2) Abingdon 22.286; 3) William Byrd 22.143; 4) Magna Vista 21.571

Posted by robwitham at 9:20 PM

 

[EPJr]

NEXT WEEK:
#PlayoffProjectionFriday
We will be LIVE on social media crunching the numbers, projecting the region playoff fields and taking YOUR questions!
Details coming Monday!
Posted by robwitham

 

[EPJr]

THE BREAKDOWN: VHSL Football Region Standings Entering Week 11​

X--Clinched Playoff Berth
Z--Clinched Seed (can't move up or down)
CLASS 3, REGION A:

1) Z--Lafayette (9-0) 26.889
2) X--Hopewell (5-4) 23.667
3) X--I.C. Norcom (5-4) 23.333
4) X--Colonial Heights (4-5) 21.556
5) Heritage (NN) (3-7) 19.4
6) Tabb (4-5) 19.222
7) Petersburg (2-7) 19.0
8) Lakeland (2-7) 18.667
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9) York (3-6) 18.444
10) New Kent (3-6) 18.111

NOTES: The top seed is secure for Lafayette. Colonial Heights could jump all the way to #2 should Hopewell and I.C. Norcom lose. Heritage is idle Friday, and there is a scenario where they could drop all the way to #9 should Tabb, Petersburg, Lakeland and New Kent all win. The Trojans have to beat 8-1 Bruton for any shot. The Wave are in by beating Thomas Dale, but if not, they'll have to root for a group of teams to win so they remain in the top eight. Should Hopewell win, they likely clinch #2 as they play a 4-5 Class 5 school in Prince George while I.C. Norcom has 1-8 Booker T. Washington.

CLASS 3, REGION B:

1) X--Thomas Jefferson (9-0) 30.0
2) X--Kettle Run (9-0) 29.333
3) Z--Armstrong (8-1) 24.778
4) X--Skyline (6-3) 21.667
5) X--Brentsville Dist. (4-5) 19.333
6) X--James Monroe (3-6) 18.556
7) Culpeper Co. (3-6) 17.778
8) Warren Co. (2-7) 17.667
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9) Fauquier (2-7) 17.111

NOTES: Armstrong is locked into the #3 seed regardless of results. Both Thomas Jefferson and Kettle Run play 4-5 teams within their classification, so both will get 28 points for a win. TJ's ceiling is significantly higher than Kettle Run's, thus, the Vikings likely earn the #1 seed with a victory over Colonial Heights. Fauquier must beat Meridian, then need a loss by either Culpeper or Warren County, and some help, to sneak in.
Posted by robwitham at 4:03 PM