This is from the VISAA
D1
Collegiate, Flint Hill, and Benedictine have clinched playoff berths. St. Christopher's and Norfolk Academy are vying for the final berth.
St. Chris can clinch the final berth outright with a win over Collegiate; in that scenario, St. Chris could finish ahead of Collegiate AND Flint Hill, but they could not get ahead of Benedictine. If St. Chris loses this week and Norfolk Academy wins, Academy clinches the fourth playoff spot; Academy can only get the #4 seed.
If both St. Chris AND Norfolk Academy lose their final games, a lot rides on the Bishop Ireton-St. John Paul the Great game. A Bishop Ireton win most likely sends St. Chris to the playoffs in that scenario. A JPG win most likely sends NA to the playoffs. Other games would also have an effect in that scenario, but the BI-JPG game is the only one where opposite results help opposite teams.
Collegiate can clinch the #1 seed outright with a win. Benedictine is in second place and Flint Hill is in 3rd. A winning St. Chris could potentially jump Collegiate, but that would require wins by Paul VI, Bishop Ireton, and STAB in the final week to boost St. Chris without boosting Collegiate.
D2
North Cross, Atlantic Shores, and Norfolk Christian have clinched playoff berths. Blue Ridge and Isle of Wight are contending for the final spot, though Blue Ridge can finish anywhere from #2 to #4 and Isle of Wight could only make it as a #4 seed. It is mathematically impossible for Isle of Wight to jump Norfolk Christian. Randolph-Macon is eliminated.
North Cross has clinched a first-round home game and can clinch the #1 seed outright with a win over Hargrave this week.
Atlantic Shores can clinch a first-round home game with a win over Portsmouth Christian this week and, if they win and North Cross loses, Shores would clinch the #1 seed, leaving North Cross #2.
Blue Ridge can clinch a playoff berth with a win over Trinity Episcopal, but it is mathematically impossible for them to pass North Cross (regardless of result), and it is mathematically impossible for Blue Ridge to jump a victorious Atlantic Shores. If all three of the top three teams win, it will be #1 North Cross, #2 Atlantic Shores, #3 Blue Ridge, and #4 Norfolk Christian. If North Cross is the only loser among the top three, it will be #1 Atlantic Shores, #2 North Cross, #3 Blue Ridge, #4 Norfolk Christian. If Blue Ridge is the only winner among the top three, it will be #1 North Cross, #2 Blue Ridge, #3 Atlantic Shores, #4 Norfolk Christian.
If Blue Ridge loses, that's Isle of Wight's only opening. Blue Ridge owns the tiebreaker over Isle of Wight based on average weekly ranking, so Isle of Wight must get ahead of Blue Ridge outright to get the fourth seed. A winning Isle of Wight must net two more points than a losing Blue Ridge to get ahead.
Example: Isle of Wight wins, Blue Ridge loses, Isle of Wight gets help from TWO opponents, Blue Ridge gets help from ZERO --> Isle of Wight clinches berth.
Example: Isle of Wight wins, Blue Ridge loses, Isle of Wight gets help from TWO opponents, Blue Ridge gets help from ONE --> Blue Ridge clinches berth.
Example: Isle of Wight wins, Blue Ridge loses, Isle of Wight gets help from ONE opponent, Blue Ridge automatically clinches (Isle of Wight must net TWO more points than Blue Ridge to clinch).
D3
Quantico has clinched the #1 seed. Roanoke Catholic's best possible rating is less than Quantico's worst possible rating. Roanoke Catholic has clinched the #2 seed. Though it is mathematically possible for Fuqua to catch Catholic in raw numbers, if you look at the overlap of their schedule, too many of the games that help Fuqua catch up would also push Catholic further ahead. Richmond Christian cannot catch Catholic. Fuqua can clinch the #3 seed outright with a win
D1
Collegiate, Flint Hill, and Benedictine have clinched playoff berths. St. Christopher's and Norfolk Academy are vying for the final berth.
St. Chris can clinch the final berth outright with a win over Collegiate; in that scenario, St. Chris could finish ahead of Collegiate AND Flint Hill, but they could not get ahead of Benedictine. If St. Chris loses this week and Norfolk Academy wins, Academy clinches the fourth playoff spot; Academy can only get the #4 seed.
If both St. Chris AND Norfolk Academy lose their final games, a lot rides on the Bishop Ireton-St. John Paul the Great game. A Bishop Ireton win most likely sends St. Chris to the playoffs in that scenario. A JPG win most likely sends NA to the playoffs. Other games would also have an effect in that scenario, but the BI-JPG game is the only one where opposite results help opposite teams.
Collegiate can clinch the #1 seed outright with a win. Benedictine is in second place and Flint Hill is in 3rd. A winning St. Chris could potentially jump Collegiate, but that would require wins by Paul VI, Bishop Ireton, and STAB in the final week to boost St. Chris without boosting Collegiate.
D2
North Cross, Atlantic Shores, and Norfolk Christian have clinched playoff berths. Blue Ridge and Isle of Wight are contending for the final spot, though Blue Ridge can finish anywhere from #2 to #4 and Isle of Wight could only make it as a #4 seed. It is mathematically impossible for Isle of Wight to jump Norfolk Christian. Randolph-Macon is eliminated.
North Cross has clinched a first-round home game and can clinch the #1 seed outright with a win over Hargrave this week.
Atlantic Shores can clinch a first-round home game with a win over Portsmouth Christian this week and, if they win and North Cross loses, Shores would clinch the #1 seed, leaving North Cross #2.
Blue Ridge can clinch a playoff berth with a win over Trinity Episcopal, but it is mathematically impossible for them to pass North Cross (regardless of result), and it is mathematically impossible for Blue Ridge to jump a victorious Atlantic Shores. If all three of the top three teams win, it will be #1 North Cross, #2 Atlantic Shores, #3 Blue Ridge, and #4 Norfolk Christian. If North Cross is the only loser among the top three, it will be #1 Atlantic Shores, #2 North Cross, #3 Blue Ridge, #4 Norfolk Christian. If Blue Ridge is the only winner among the top three, it will be #1 North Cross, #2 Blue Ridge, #3 Atlantic Shores, #4 Norfolk Christian.
If Blue Ridge loses, that's Isle of Wight's only opening. Blue Ridge owns the tiebreaker over Isle of Wight based on average weekly ranking, so Isle of Wight must get ahead of Blue Ridge outright to get the fourth seed. A winning Isle of Wight must net two more points than a losing Blue Ridge to get ahead.
Example: Isle of Wight wins, Blue Ridge loses, Isle of Wight gets help from TWO opponents, Blue Ridge gets help from ZERO --> Isle of Wight clinches berth.
Example: Isle of Wight wins, Blue Ridge loses, Isle of Wight gets help from TWO opponents, Blue Ridge gets help from ONE --> Blue Ridge clinches berth.
Example: Isle of Wight wins, Blue Ridge loses, Isle of Wight gets help from ONE opponent, Blue Ridge automatically clinches (Isle of Wight must net TWO more points than Blue Ridge to clinch).
D3
Quantico has clinched the #1 seed. Roanoke Catholic's best possible rating is less than Quantico's worst possible rating. Roanoke Catholic has clinched the #2 seed. Though it is mathematically possible for Fuqua to catch Catholic in raw numbers, if you look at the overlap of their schedule, too many of the games that help Fuqua catch up would also push Catholic further ahead. Richmond Christian cannot catch Catholic. Fuqua can clinch the #3 seed outright with a win
