Wm. Fleming over or under 40 pts vs Salem

[redzone4us]

Fleming averaging over 70 pts a game (yes I know against 2 teams that aren't that good), but still pretty impressive. Salem defense giving up 34 pts a game. It'll be interesting to see if Fleming can score at least 40. What do you think?

 

[Shruikan]

Under. Salem has given up 40 points only six times in the past ten years. With the exception of Patrick Henry in 2017, each of the teams that managed it have a long history of success and either won their state championship or were a serious contender for it. If Fleming pulls it off I expect it'll be like that Patrick Henry game (which might be good news for Salem since they won the championship that year).

Lake Taylor 2014 - Lost 41-16. Lake Taylor went undefeated, including a win over 5A champion L.C. Bird.
Amherst County 2016 - Lost 42-40. Lost to Dominion in second round. Salem beat Dominion 38-22 and won state championship over Dinwiddie.
Blacksburg 2017 - Lost 49-12, but later beat Blacksburg in the playoffs 33-32 and won the state championship over Louisa.
Patrick Henry 2017 - Won 56-42. Weird result given that Patrick Henry team doesn't look like anything special on the face of it.
Martinsburg 2019 - Lost 49-14. Martinsburg won WV state championship and won each game by an average margin of 51 points.
Martinsburg 2022 - Lost 40-7. Martinsburg lost by 7 to eventual state champion Huntington.