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Thoughts on Region A

I’m not sure what meets your eye test but Essex has only given up 50 points in 10 games. Rapp and Weatmoreland both scored 14, which was enough for Rapp. Essex had costly turnovers in both those games, a few against Rapp on their side of the field.

I don’t think Essex has any problems with Middlesex this week. I see Essex making the right adjustments when they face Rappahannock again. Similar to riverheads beating Stuart’s draft after losing to them in the playoffs.

Hayfield

I'm still giving the VHSL the lions share of the blame here...IF they had done a proper and thorough investigation when the concerns were first brought up, the innocent student athletes wouldn't be hung up in the middle of this "adult's behaving poorly" episode. I know...I know VHSL doesn't do this...yada yada.....CHANGE IT

THIS IS WHY YOU NEVER LET THE FOX GUARD THE HEN HOUSE!

I bet Coach Serbay at JM was the LAST Football coach in VA that self-reported a violation and that cost them a run at a state title. If any other schools have self reported - I apologize for not knowing...

When you allow some people to self police but they have that "win at all cost" mentality, it can create a very slippery slope. Some coaches should be at Private Schools or look for the financial backing to open up an IMG Academy type school...IF they have that much confidence in their system, recruiting and coaching ability.

In the most simplest terms:
Integrity is doing the right thing when no one else is looking. What are YOU doing?
And yet the VHSL and the powers that be turn a completely blind eye to what is going on with the John Marshall basketball “program”…
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Riverheads 29 Stuarts Draft 28 Final

I won't use the word "dishonest" about this discussion or any other but if there is one situation in the VHSL that needs addressing, it is the LCA football and John Marshall basketball programs. Last I heard in high school ball, you are supposed to play for the school that is closest to where you live. So you can't tell me that all these world-class athletes establish residences in those two areas every year. In fact wouldn't it be interesting to do a study some time and see how fast they head back to their home towns once those state titles have been won?

Now if those are considered private boarding schools and the athletes qualify on that basis, then fine, but let them compete in the private school leagues. It is totally unfair year in and year out for Virginia's public schools in those classifications and those sports to start practicing, knowing from the beginning that they will not have a shot at a state title.
See Hayfield in the 6A forum…

Week 13 Pick'em(Rd 2)

2 points per pick, GOTW worth 3. Picks are due Friday @ 7pm. If games are Thursday, it is your responsibility to pick game b4 game time. If games are b4 Thursday the game will not count. No score predictions needed.

Madison Co @ Buckingham Co
Bruton @ King William
Allehany @ Turner Ashby
Magna Vista @ Lord Botetourt
Floyd Co @ Glenvar
Grayson Co @ George Wythe
Virginia @ Graham
Patrick Henry @ Eastside
Grundy @ Rye Cove

GOTW***3 Points each
Riverheads @ Strasburg
Gretna @ Radford
Union @ Ridgeview
Madison Co @ Buckingham Co
Bruton @ King William
Allehany @ Turner Ashby
Magna Vista
@ Lord Botetourt
Floyd Co @ Glenvar
Grayson Co @ George Wythe
Virginia @ Graham
Patrick Henry @Eastside
Grundy @ Rye Cove

GOTW***3 Points each
Riverheads @ Strasburg
Gretna @ Radford
Union
@ Ridgeview

Hayfield

I live in North Carolina, but graduated from Hermitage High School in Richmond. So, I've been following this with interest. We have four major transfer portal teams and they pretty much dominate the playoffs every year, so it's become rather boring. You have these teams nationwide every year, but from what I see, what coach Overton has done is over the top for a public school. In that one long article posted, it indicated that it's not only how he gets his players, but how he never takes his foot off the gas, even when leading by 60 with a running clock. Actually, with how he wants to do things, he probably shouldn't be coaching in pubic schools but at a private. But, of course, he probably wouldn't be able to bully other private schools like he apparently does with the publics. I don't know anything about the teams he's playing but according to Calpreps and Massey, Hayfield isn't even on the radar of very top teams. I picked a few of our top teams and did a simulation through both Massey and Calpreps. All the teams I did was 4A. I included Charlotte Catholic as they do play public schools as members of the North Carolina High School Athletic Association. Following the below scores, I included some scores from the major privates in North Carolina.

Massey (State Playoff Seeding in Parentheses)

Charlotte Catholic (8) - Catholic 39 Hayfield 14

Mallard Creek (13) -Mallard Creek 44 Hayfield 12

Independence (21) - Independence 44 Hayfield 17

Rolesville (5 East Region) - Rolesville 48 Hayfield 20

Grimsley (1) - Grimsley 48 Hayfield 14

Weddington (2) - Weddington 42 Hayfield 7

Hough (5) - Hough 48 Hayfield 12



Calpreps

Charlotte Catholic 34 Hayfield 24

Mallard Creek 42 Hayfield 17

Independence 44 Hayfield 24

Rolesville 48 Hayfield 27

Grimsley 48 Hayfield 20

Weddington 48 Hayfield 17

Hough 52 Hayfield 14


Privates (these were done with Massey. I'd think you'd pretty much have the idea)

Hayfield 38 Charlotte Country Day 20

Charlotte Christian 42 Hayfield 18

Hayfield 35 Charlotte Latin 20

Providence Day 42 Hayfield 13
Hayfield is FAR better than what the simulations has them

Hayfield

I live in North Carolina, but graduated from Hermitage High School in Richmond. So, I've been following this with interest. We have four major transfer portal teams and they pretty much dominate the playoffs every year, so it's become rather boring. You have these teams nationwide every year, but from what I see, what coach Overton has done is over the top for a public school. In that one long article posted, it indicated that it's not only how he gets his players, but how he never takes his foot off the gas, even when leading by 60 with a running clock. Actually, with how he wants to do things, he probably shouldn't be coaching in pubic schools but at a private. But, of course, he probably wouldn't be able to bully other private schools like he apparently does with the publics. I don't know anything about the teams he's playing but according to Calpreps and Massey, Hayfield isn't even on the radar of very top teams. I picked a few of our top teams and did a simulation through both Massey and Calpreps. All the teams I did was 4A. I included Charlotte Catholic as they do play public schools as members of the North Carolina High School Athletic Association. Following the below scores, I included some scores from the major privates in North Carolina.

Massey (State Playoff Seeding in Parentheses)

Charlotte Catholic (8) - Catholic 39 Hayfield 14

Mallard Creek (13) -Mallard Creek 44 Hayfield 12

Independence (21) - Independence 44 Hayfield 17

Rolesville (5 East Region) - Rolesville 48 Hayfield 20

Grimsley (1) - Grimsley 48 Hayfield 14

Weddington (2) - Weddington 42 Hayfield 7

Hough (5) - Hough 48 Hayfield 12



Calpreps

Charlotte Catholic 34 Hayfield 24

Mallard Creek 42 Hayfield 17

Independence 44 Hayfield 24

Rolesville 48 Hayfield 27

Grimsley 48 Hayfield 20

Weddington 48 Hayfield 17

Hough 52 Hayfield 14


Privates (these were done with Massey. I'd think you'd pretty much have the idea)

Hayfield 38 Charlotte Country Day 20

Charlotte Christian 42 Hayfield 18

Hayfield 35 Charlotte Latin 20

Providence Day 42 Hayfield 13
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Salem at GW

Yeah, he is definitely the biggest “what if”. Man, the dude would’ve been fun to watch on Sundays.
Just my opinion but, Marcus Parker without injury is at least in the biggest "what if" discussion but, as time rolls on only old timers are likely to remember. Sadly, Marcus' "what if" was beyond his control while Ramsey's was self inflicted.

King George @ Dinwiddie

The only question mark I have for KG is the QB play. I have also been on record saying that on here last year and they torched everyone in B. Different year, different QB. I think if Koch gets time and don’t turn it over like the EV game, King George will give Dinwiddie all they want and possibly win. Last week I gave a bunch of conjecture. Powhatan was a huge disappointment , King George is legit. I’ve seen all 4 Region B teams play, really not a big difference in 1 through 4.
Will you be there Friday?

Thoughts on Region A

Rapp is the team to beat in Region A.
I would have to agree right now, I just don't think Essex has enough for them this year and maybe the next 2 years. They have to get past Middlesex 1st which I think will give them a run for their money. It's odd to me that they were the clear favorites and returned a lot of key pieces and have seemed to allow Rappahannock to pass them. I know most are looking at the record but the eye test tells me they aren't as good as 8-1 and have a lot of holes on offense and defense. They have a bunch of coaches and the kids just don't seem as tough. Mentally or physically...can Essex and company bring their best game the next few weeks and make it back to state or are we crowning a new Region A champ. As for Region B I hang my hat on Altavista as that being my ladies alma mater. Buckle up boys its going to get rough here soon

King George @ Dinwiddie

Man we had a linebacker playing CB & our MLB was playing WR 😂😂😂 it got bad. @BoKnowsSports Maury gonna score 40 on everyone unless they choose not to. Matoaca was rivalry game with extremely mobile QB once Dinwiddie finally settled in Matoaca only had one progressive drive the second half. I don’t think KG is Maury and Matoaca. We all get on Matoaca for being soft but if they had a killer instinct they’d be one of the scariest teams in the state. I think it maybe close for a half something like 28-14 but that killer instinct for Dinwiddie will kick in after that. I may be wrong but the dam usually breaks in the 3rd quarter that’s where Dinwiddie will separate themselves. That canon and horse can be intimidating if it’s your first time in that environment
The only question mark I have for KG is the QB play. I have also been on record saying that on here last year and they torched everyone in B. Different year, different QB. I think if Koch gets time and don’t turn it over like the EV game, King George will give Dinwiddie all they want and possibly win. Last week I gave a bunch of conjecture. Powhatan was a huge disappointment , King George is legit. I’ve seen all 4 Region B teams play, really not a big difference in 1 through 4.
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