I live in North Carolina, but graduated from Hermitage High School in Richmond. So, I've been following this with interest. We have four major transfer portal teams and they pretty much dominate the playoffs every year, so it's become rather boring. You have these teams nationwide every year, but from what I see, what coach Overton has done is over the top for a public school. In that one long article posted, it indicated that it's not only how he gets his players, but how he never takes his foot off the gas, even when leading by 60 with a running clock. Actually, with how he wants to do things, he probably shouldn't be coaching in pubic schools but at a private. But, of course, he probably wouldn't be able to bully other private schools like he apparently does with the publics. I don't know anything about the teams he's playing but according to Calpreps and Massey, Hayfield isn't even on the radar of very top teams. I picked a few of our top teams and did a simulation through both Massey and Calpreps. All the teams I did was 4A. I included Charlotte Catholic as they do play public schools as members of the North Carolina High School Athletic Association. Following the below scores, I included some scores from the major privates in North Carolina.
Massey (State Playoff Seeding in Parentheses)
Charlotte Catholic (8) - Catholic 39 Hayfield 14
Mallard Creek (13) -Mallard Creek 44 Hayfield 12
Independence (21) - Independence 44 Hayfield 17
Rolesville (5 East Region) - Rolesville 48 Hayfield 20
Grimsley (1) - Grimsley 48 Hayfield 14
Weddington (2) - Weddington 42 Hayfield 7
Hough (5) - Hough 48 Hayfield 12
Calpreps
Charlotte Catholic 34 Hayfield 24
Mallard Creek 42 Hayfield 17
Independence 44 Hayfield 24
Rolesville 48 Hayfield 27
Grimsley 48 Hayfield 20
Weddington 48 Hayfield 17
Hough 52 Hayfield 14
Privates (these were done with Massey. I'd think you'd pretty much have the idea)
Hayfield 38 Charlotte Country Day 20
Charlotte Christian 42 Hayfield 18
Hayfield 35 Charlotte Latin 20
Providence Day 42 Hayfield 13