Update: After attending the Kettle Run at Sherando game I would pick Handley to beat Sherando in a couple weeks. Sherando is solid but Handley just has too many plus athletes for them to handle.
Kettle Run would be my pick if healthy to win the region but Armstrong impressed me last year when they played Brentsville in the regional final and if them and Tee Jay are improved then it would certainly be tough on Kettle Run if they had to run through both to reach the state semi-finals. That being said, Kettle Run has all the tools to score on anyone in 3A. They attack your weaknesses and always seem to scheme their WRs open and their QB is as accurate a QB as I can remember seeing at this level. They have a great RB and a great TE. Their OL isn't as big as some previous years but they are big enough and sound. Their blitz pick-up is as good as it gets in high school. This team doesn't have a player as good as Tapscott when they went to the 4A title game in 2022 but collectively, they may be better. Advanced screen game, advanced play-action, tons of formations, some motions. Nightmare to prep for. Forces teams into decisions and then without hesitation goes after whatever you gave up. I have seen them beat blitz, beat man, beat zone. I shouldn't be a fan since they dominate my school but I can't help appreciating good football.
They are your typical 3A team in that if they lose a couple guys it could devastate them like it did last year when they went from averaging 50 and up two TD on Brentsville to out in the 2nd round due to a bunch of season ending knee injuries. But they did just win by 24 on the road against and undefeated 4A opponent without a star TE/MLB.
They are going to score 70+ on my Falcons in a couple weeks and I am actually excited to see it. Hopefully the points allow them to host a state semi should they get to host. Would be nice to only have to drive 20 minutes.