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4a East (17-18 pod) updated ratings

DEVILSLB99

VaPreps All District
Gold Member
Dec 19, 2005
4,969
1,095
113
1 Lafayette 29.5
2 Heritage 29.375
3 LT 28.375
4 Grafton 26
5 Smithfield 24
6 KF 22.25
7 Denbigh 20.44
8 Deep Creek 20.25

Heritage is in the drivers seat if they can win out against Woodside (7-1) and Phoebus (6-2) as the two teams Lafayette have remaining have combined 4 wins and the two teams LT has has a combined 7 wins. If Heritage loses to either Phoebus and Woodside it will come down very tight to LT and Lafayette for the #1 seed.
 
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If Heritage NN loses one of two final games it will be close but the DP here has Lafayette as #1 seed if we win out if LT does too. The one OOD team for Lafayette -Huguenot - now has 2 wins with one more very probable. Last year they had one win. That may be the deciding factor.
 
If Heritage NN loses one of two final games it will be close but the DP here has Lafayette as #1 seed if we win out if LT does too. The one OOD team for Lafayette -Huguenot - now has 2 wins with one more very probable. Last year they had one win. That may be the deciding factor.

Daily Mess has it wrong once again. So, If we win out and Lafayette wins too then LT will need a couple of games to swing their way to get the #1 seed.

Lafayette will finish at 30.6 if Huguenot beats Wythe which I believe they will do.
Lafayette
4a Huguenot (3-7) (2-6) 28
3a Warhill (5-5) (3-5) 32
4a Smithfield (7-3) (6-2) 36
4a Jamestown (2-8) (2-6) 26
3a York (1-9) (1-7) 24
4a Grafton (9-1) (7-1) 40
3a Poquoson (7-3) (5-3) 36
3a Tabb (4-6) (4-4) 30
2a Bruton (0-10) (0-8) 22
3a New Kent (5-5) (4-4) 32
306 points- 30.6

LT will need some help, but they will need the following things to happen to outpoint Lafayette:
1. Heritage to at least split Woodside and Phoebus( I think Woodside is an L and Phoebus is a win)
2. Western Branch to at least split their last two games (Hickory win and Indian River- toss up) If WB wins both better for LT
3. Northeastern to win out (They are 7-1 and playing 2 sub .500 teams)
4. Norview to beat LCA.

If all of these things happens then LT will finish at 30.8 and outpoint Lafayette
Lake Taylor
4a Heritage (8-2) (7-1) 18
6a WB (6-4) (4-4) 38
3a Northeastern (9-1) (7-1) 40
5a Norview (8-2) (6-2) 40
6a Granby (5-5) (4-4) 36
4a Churchland (2-8) (1-7) 26
4a Wilson (1-9) (0-8) 24
3a BTW (1-9) (1-7) 24
5a Maury (3-7) (3-5) 30
3a Norcom (5-4) (4-3) 32
308 points- 30.8

Now if WB loses to IR and we both finish at 30.6 in a tie, then LT will get the tiebreaker over Lafayette because IC Norcom has a 9 game schedule...Check the tiebreakers...Once again DP messes it up.
 
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Looks like the probability that Lafayette will be a #2 or even a #3 seed if Heritage wins both games. With the current rules that power points are not used beyond your own POD for home field advantage a #3 seed at 10-0 would be a near impossible route for success, 3 probable away games to the final.
 
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