Looking at the points today, we are sitting at 18 at 3-3. We likely have to win out which would include wins over 5A 4-2 Orange and 3A 5-1 Western Albemarle. If we win out, I'm assuming those two wins would put us in 10-12 seed range with a 7-3 record. We lose another game and we're likely sitting at home at 6-4. I'm not saying this just because it is us but also because there will be other teams left out who deserve to play a playoff game. Changing the format was easy when 4A West was horrible the last two years and we had 4-6, 5-5 teams filling out the 13-16 seeds. This year we could very well have 7-3 teams outside of the top 12, certainly will be a few 6-4 teams outside of 12 if my predictions come true. 4A West has really come on strong with the addition of a few strong 3A teams, William Byrd and Loudoun Valley moving up as well as LCA coming over from privates. Add in that most of the top teams don't play each other and we're going to end up with a lot of good records. I'm betting the top 9 seeds will all be 8-2 or better, any takers? Doubt any other region in the state this year will have 9 seeds with 8 wins or more, maybe 5A South. It's going to be a shame come November when 6-4, 7-3 teams are at home in 4A West while 2-8, 3-7 teams are playing in 1A, 2A, 3A and 4-6 team is playing in 4A East. Also we have more teams in our region(29) than any other region in the state. It's been blowing me since the decision was made. Hitting me harder now that our backs are against the wall. VHSL really dropped the ball on that decision.
